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About J.D. Power–LMC Forecasting Servies
Speed, Flexibility, and Global Coverage
Forecasting Services |
The J.D. Power–LMC Advantage


Speed, Flexibility, and Global Coverage

The most up-to-date forecasts available
Global coverage
Forecasting with a consumer orientation
The Power Information Network

More about the Power Information Network


The most up-to-date forecasts available

Lean organizations today are all doing more with less. As a result, many firms have made the decision to outsource forecasting or employ outside resources to supplement their own internal efforts.

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Global coverage

J.D. Power and Associates employs research and forecasting professionals who keep their finger on the pulse of the automotive industry—from the Americas and Asia Pacific to Europe and Africa—so they can provide clients with the most up-to-date sales and production forecasts available.

As a J.D. Power and Associates forecasting client, you will have access to one of the most professional and responsive research and forecasting teams in the automotive industry. Our substantial experience in measuring and understanding consumer behavior combined with our statistical expertise and knowledge of the automotive industry leads to forecasts that are accurate and reliable over time.

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Forecasting with a consumer orientation

We utilize information from a variety of J.D. Power and Associates databases and consumer studies. These include:

• Our customer satisfaction database, including the Customer Satisfaction Index Study and the Vehicle Dependability Index Study

• The annual Automotive Performance, Execution and Layout Study

• The annual Feature Contenting Report, which determines the content that consumers want and need, and how much they are willing to pay for a variety of features and technologies

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The Power Information Network

Q: What is the Power Information Network (PIN)?

PIN is a unique, nationwide data collection system that aggregates daily new- and used-vehicle transaction information from more than 7,500 automotive retailers nationwide.

PIN provides a unique opportunity to understand the dynamics of each vehicle purchase. It allows manufacturers and retailers to see what programs are most effective and which combination of vehicle pricing and incentives are optimum for increasing sales, reducing costs and improving profit margins.

For the first time, the industry has a complete picture of the competitive environment. PIN data gives manufacturers, suppliers and retailers the ability to compete more effectively and efficiently in the marketplace by understanding the factors that influence consumer behavior and by adapting their distribution, supply chain and marketing and advertising plans accordingly.

Q: How many markets does PIN represent?

PIN represents retailers in over 22 major metropolitan U.S. markets that collectively represent more than 70% of all national light-vehicle retail sales. PIN compiles data on more than 300,000 transactions per month in these markets.

Q: What kind of information does PIN collect?

PIN transforms more than 200 individual customer data collection points—demographics, vehicle transaction information, finance and insurance data, and sales-related information—into modeling data that is used by automotive manufacturers, suppliers and retailers. Conceptually, the system is similar to the retail scanning system in the packaged goods industry that collects consumer transaction data to analyze purchasing habits, control inventory and reduce costs.

Q: When was the first commercial adoption of PIN data?

The first entity to utilize PIN data (1997) was General Motors' California Marketing Initiative (CMI), a skunkworks operation located in Thousand Oaks, California.

CMI—which went on to develop the GM BuyPower online retailing effort—made use of PIN data to better configure new vehicles and develop leasing programs for the highly competitive California marketplace.

In addition, CMI used PIN data to analyze brand loyalty and explore conquest and defection rates.

Q: How does PIN work and where is it currently in use?

Currently, more than 7,500 dealerships in 22 major U.S. metropolitan markets participate in the PIN program.

Dealers who participate in PIN provide daily consumer transaction-related information through software installed on the dealership's computer system.

This data is sent automatically, via satellite, each night to PIN headquarters where it is verified, cleaned and analyzed.

Reports are generated and sent to participating dealers each week showing the retailer's performance compared to the overall market; new- and used-vehicle sales; finance and insurance data; new-and used-vehicle inventory information; and other market intelligence.

Q: How do vehicle manufacturers use PIN data?

Manufacturers use PIN data in several ways—to determine how consumers respond to varying levels of new-vehicle pricing and to understand how price changes affect demand. PIN data is also used to evaluate the short-term effect of changes in pricing to handle over- or under-supply situations at the national and/or regional level.

Consumer response models

PIN data can also be used to build consumer-response models to determine the impact of new product introductions, major redesigns, and changes in option package content and pricing, and to understand pricing models of the competition.

Predict cannibalization

PIN data is used to gain insight into patterns of inter-brand competition and understand how sales increases for one model will affect the sales of a similar model within the same brand (cannibalization).

Determine the proper mix of build combinations

PIN data allows manufacturers to determine the proper mix of vehicle configurations and build combinations, to assess brand loyalty and to understand brand conquest and defection rates.

Through this near real-time data, manufacturers and retailers get a clear picture of which vehicles are in demand in a particular geographic region and are able to build or transport vehicles to those areas.

Q: What are the benefits of PIN data?

Identify inefficiencies

PIN data allows manufacturers and retailers to identify inefficiencies and reduce vehicle distribution costs—vehicle transportation, logistics planning, dealer floor planning and inventory for new and used vehicles—that can result in significant savings to both manufacturers and retailers.

By better matching supply and demand and avoiding excess inventory, retailers and manufacturers save money on floor planning and other inventory costs (i.e., vehicle maintenance, cleaning, etc).

Timely used vehicle data

PIN data helps retailers understand the used-car market by identifying the prices their competitors paid for trade-ins. In doing so, a retailer can stock an adequate supply of vehicles that are in demand in that local area and avoid spending money to support an inventory of vehicles that are not in high demand.

Finance data

PIN data allows financial institutions to compare the products and market penetration of the competition; monitor market share by brand and track residual values; and understand competitive information such as rebates, loan terms, leasing rates, annual percentage rates (APR), average down payments and monthly payments.

Optimize vehicle ordering

PIN data allows retailers to optimize vehicle ordering; reduce inventory levels; determine market pricing for trade-ins; monitor used-vehicle ROI in the local market; compare financing products of captive vs. non-captive lenders; evaluate gross profit margins, measure the effectiveness of local marketing and advertising efforts, and monitor sales of the competition.

Identify trends earlier

PIN also provides an early warning of price softening or a decline in certain market segments by measuring the turnover rate—the number of days required, on average, for a particular vehicle to sell. With accurate information on retail transactions, vehicles that are popular in a particular region can be readily available for consumer.

Q: Why was PIN developed?

It is estimated that there is approximately $100–$120 billion of inefficiency within the automotive distribution system. Distribution costs—which account for nearly one-third of the cost of the average vehicle—include sales and marketing, contests and incentives, model mix management, inventory, warranty, transportation and dealer costs, among others.

Also included is approximately $40 billion for incentives and rebates, $15 billion for advertising these incentives and driving traffic to retailer locations, and an additional $50 billion in finished goods inventory.

Manufacturers spend billions of dollars annually providing incentives to encourage the purchase of new vehicles. Since automotive manufacturing is based on a "push" marketing model, manufacturers build vehicles according to projections of increases based on historical sales information. PIN data allows manufacturers and dealers to employ a "pull" model, in which consumers are attracted to dealers' locations because the vehicles they want are available and the make and model mix closely match consumer demand.

Nearly all manufacturers offer some form of incentive to consumers and their dealers—lower APR financing rates, cash-back rebates or a combination of both. Incentive planners measure the effectiveness of previous incentive programs to determine which offers might have the greatest impact on sales volume. In doing so, they use a combination of intuition and experience. The reality however, is that competitors usually match each other's incentives or special financing rates.

Previously, there was no way to determine which of two or more options would have the greatest impact on sales—would it be better to offer $1,500 cash back or a subsidized (lower) APR rate? Prior to the development of PIN, there was no scientific way to measure the efficiency or the impact of varying levels of financial discounts or special financing rates. Now, manufacturers can get near real-time data that allows them to determine the effect of different incentive programs.

PIN data allows manufacturers to accurately assess the effectiveness of incentives and provide more cost-effective programs to stimulate sales. In addition, PIN data helps manufacturers determine which combination of incentives is most effective and helps them target marketing and advertising efforts to specific consumer segments to stimulate sales in diverse geographic areas.

Q: What does PIN allow that couldn't be done before?

Prior to the establishment of PIN, there was no standard data collection system across all brands in the automotive industry. Each manufacturer has its own proprietary system for sharing information among channelsÑmanufacturers, suppliers, and dealers. In many instances, because of the lack of hard data, anecdotal information is used to make important financial decisions.

Without a scientific process for measuring incentive program effectiveness, money is wasted because incentives are required to move inventory from a market situation where supply exceeds demand to where demand exceeds supply. Holding and moving excess inventory is inefficient and very expensive.

With PIN's data-modeling capabilities, clients are able to run their operations more efficiently saving millions of dollars in incentive spending while increasing sales volume and market share. By examining consumer response to various programs and price points, manufacturers are able to implement programs that increase sales. With PIN data, manufacturers gain a deeper understanding of the relationship between their products and competitors' products and gain the ability to adjust their incentive spending and pricing strategies in order to respond to short-term competitive actions.

PIN data also creates more choices for consumers. By better matching vehicle supply with local demand, consumers have more choices among the vehicles popular in a given area. With PIN information, manufacturers get the near-real-time data they need to adjust production schedules and deliver vehicles to locations where demand is highest. With PIN information, retailers control and reduce inventory costs by eliminating the need to stock unwanted vehicles. This reduces retailers' financing costs as well as the expense of maintaining and cleaning vehicles while they sit on dealers' lots.

More about the Power Information Network

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